Tour de France | Analysis

Stage 16

Stage 16 Breakdown:

Stage 16 takes the riders on a hilly 26.1km individual time trial from Évian-les-Bains to Thonon-les-Bains. After the second rest day, the race resumes with the only time trial of the Tour, featuring around 500m of climbing. While the course is far from flat, it is unlikely to produce huge time gaps between the best GC riders, although every second will become increasingly valuable heading into the decisive Alpine stages.

The riders begin with a steady 9.7km climb to the Côte de Larringes, averaging 4.3%, before tackling a fast and technical descent back towards Lake Geneva. The final 9 kilometres are almost entirely flat, favouring riders who can recover from the climb and maintain a high speed all the way to the finish in Thonon-les-Bains. Bike choice and pacing will be crucial, as the uphill opening rewards climbers while the flatter finale still suits the stronger time trial specialists.

This is a stage where the GC contenders cannot afford any mistakes. Riders capable of combining climbing ability with strong time trial skills are expected to gain valuable time before the race heads back into the high mountains. Pure time trial specialists will also target the stage victory, but with the challenging opening climb, the balance shifts slightly towards the all-rounders.

Favorites:
| +++ | Remco Evenepoel, Tadej Pogačar
| ++ | Filippo Ganna, Joshua Tarling, Isaac del Toro
| + | Paul Seixas, Jonas Vingegaard, Brandon McNulty

Tune in for more stage by stage analysis, and predictions to come!